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01 of a year passes, the predicted decay in the option39s price is about 0. 10 (-10 times 0. At-the-money options have the highest theta. Theta decreases as the strike moves further into the money or further out of the money. In-the-money options are mostly composed of intrinsic value (the difference between the strike price of the option and the market price of the underlying), while out-of-the-money options have a larger implied volatility component. Theta is higher when implied volatility is lower.
This is because a high implied volatility suggests that the underlying stock is likely to have a significant change in price within a given time period. A high IV artificially expands the time remaining in the life of the option, helping it retain value.
Next week, when we discuss calendar spreads, Ill drill down into isolating theta or decay, and how to transform it from a drag on performance to a tailwind. For complete access to Steve Smith39s OptionSmith portfolio, which returned 28 in 2011, click here.
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